One of the biggest war fields for Turkey and a zone for the expansion of its global influence reached peace on Friday in Geneva. In the long run Turkey pursued establishment of peace in the region. Then, one might wonder, what is its failure about? Simple. One of the major clause in the permanent ceasefire agreement signed by the rivals on Friday requires the withdrawal of all foreign forces, one of the biggest (if not the biggest) of which is the Turkish army. Erdogan reacted very negatively to this agreement calling it “not reliable”,“not one at the highest level” and also casting doubt both parties will follow the ceasefire agreement (and as we all know from the ongoing Nagorno Karabakh war, when Erdogan throws such words to the public it means Erdogan will do its best to provoke the parties violate the ceasefire agreement and start all over again).
Erdogan failed in Libya, did not achieve any persistent success in Syria, the so much desired blitzkrieg in Nagorno-Karabakh war failed costing Turkey billions of its taxpayers’ money, so what’s the plan, Mr. Dictator? Just 1 week before its mighty failure in Libya, Erdogan signed a military framework agreement with Ukraine without disclosing the exact content of the agreement to the public. However, at the same meeting Erdogan, just among other things, noted that “Turkey has always supported and always will support Ukraine’s sovereignty, territorial integrity and political unity including Crimea. Turkey has never recognised the illegal annexation of Crimea, and never will,” adding that Turkey’s support to Crimean Tatars will continue together with Ukrainian authorities. So Erdogan made its goal crystal clear: the next stage for his war games is Donbass if not Crimea itself.
While we all are super concentrated on what’s happening in Nagorno-Karabakh, there are rumors among servicemen in Donbass that Ukraine has started transferring tanks, artillery and personnel in the direction of the front line in various sectors, and those movements are not associated with planned rotation. And this happens just after a week a military agreement was signed with Turkey. Coincidence? Don’t think so!